Source: ITTO's Tropical Timber Market Report

 
                                         

Report from the UK

House prices reach unseasonably strong levels

House prices were "unseasonably strong" in September according to the Nationwide Building Society (NBS). A NBS housing survey found prices rose 1.3% during the month lifting the annual rate of growth to 8.2%. The gain was the fastest annual growth rate since February. Prices were 2.2% higher in the third quarter of the year, compared with the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, house builders Barratt Developments saw its 14th year of growth despite a demanding first half and increased competition in the marketplace. Plumbing and building group Wolseley reported annual profits up by 15.6%. Wolseley's UK revenues grew by 14.4% despite noticeable delays in government spending on social housing. In contrast, furniture group MFI sold its loss making retail business for a nominal £1 and a £100 million as a dowry for the group's name.

Window makers shift from PVCu to timber

The TTJ reported an improving market for joinery amid high energy costs and possibly higher interest rates. The wooden window sector had seen an improvement as a swing away from PVCu in favour of timber became more apparent. However, selling prices remained stubbornly level with little opportunity to improve. The journal reported that the overall consumption of hardwood in the UK was £204 million while its imports reached 660,000 m3 in 2005.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) reported a strong picture for manufacturing industry; with companies' order books this month rising to their highest level since December 2004 and export orders also recovering. A balance of 14% of firms expected that output would rise over the next three months, but price expectations, which rose to their highest level for 19 months in July, had edged lower.

 
 
 

Report from North America

US housing sector shows mixed results

Sales of existing homes fell less than expected in August. Home re-sales slowed 0.5% to 6.3 million units a year while the average price dropped 1.7% to $225,000 from a year earlier, the biggest decline since November 1990.

Privately-owned housing starts dropped 6% in August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.77 million units, according to the US Commerce Department. This was 20% below the pace of a year ago. The decline was due to a 5.9% reduction in the single-family sector, which accounted for about 80% of the houses built. The chart below shows that privately-owned housing starts have plunged 27% since January this year. Building permits (down 2.3% from July) and housing completions (down 3.2%) also dropped in August.

US housing starts (seasonally adjusted, 000 units)

In contrast, the sales of new homes unexpectedly posted the biggest increase in five months, raising hopes that the steep slide in the US housing industry might be levelling off. Sales of new single-family homes increased 4.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.05 million units. However, the average price fell to $237,000, down 1.3% from August 2005.

US expects levelling sales of existing homes

According to the National Association of Realtors, sales of existing homes in the USA will level out in the months ahead, slowing the frenzied pace earlier this year. The decline of sales in the third quarter of 2006 was stronger than expected and mirrored the slumping sales of new houses. Surprisingly, this was not supported by the still favourable economic fundamentals such as GDP growth, job creation and interest rates. One explanation could be found in the saturation of the housing market due to the strong building boom in 2005 and the first half of 2006.

Psychological factors were also causing some US buyers to remain on the sidelines, waiting for prices to stabilize at a lower level. Furthermore, consumer confidence was waning as it was generally expected that the US economy would enter a less favourable phase later this year and in 2007.

 
 
 

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